The Red Sox have put together quite the offseason since last year. Many of the Red Sox faithful have been frustrated with the team’s management and with what have felt like “bridge” years the last few seasons. Seasons where the front office was seen to be trying to stay competitive but not really committed to winning a championship this year. Instead, management seemed to be content to create a bridge between the successes of previous seasons and successes in future seasons while skipping success this season. As an example, last year’s team was built around run prevention by adding pitching and defense at the expense of offense. The big signings of the offseason were SS Marco Scutaro (our 6th SS in the last 7 years), 37-year old Mike Cameron, and former Angel John Lackey. Although the season was largely marred by injuries, for the most part the run prevention experiment seemed a failure.
Theo Epstein’s been given a lot of latitude since bringing a World Series championship to Boston for the first time in 86 years in 2004 though. So he was given a pass on the disaster of last year, finishing a distant third in the AL East (ditto on 2006, by the way). But the masses were going to revolt if something big wasn’t done this year. We needed a spark to keep the fans coming and the sellout streak alive. We needed to out maneuver the Yankees at the Winter Meetings. Above all, we needed someone who could mash the ball.
Well, ask and ye shall receive. Here’s a recap of the additions and subtractions since last year.
Add Adrian Gonzalez, Subtract Adrian Beltre
The biggest splash of the offseason came in the form of a player long known to be coveted by the Sox. San Diego received prospects Reymond Fuentes, Casey Kelly, Anthony Rizzo, and a player to be named later in return for slugging first baseman Adrian Gonzalez. Gonzalez is exactly the player the Sox offense needed: a legitimate power threat to complement Ortiz while still fitting into the high OBP model Moneyball made famous. The prospects lost had exciting potential (especially Kelly, a SS/SP combo you don’t see often), but in my mind you have to grab the proven MLB talent when it’s available.
The fallout of the trade was that Adrian Beltre’s services were no longer needed (Youkilis moved across the diamond, back to 3rd). I really enjoyed the Beltre era, both in Seattle and in Boston. His defense was astounding and, to me, he was a known quantity at the plate. He gets a lot of flack for putting up big numbers in contract years (48 home runs in 2004) but outside of 2004 and last year, his numbers have been remarkably consistent: home run totals in the 20’s, batting average between .260 and .270, and an OPS around the mid 700’s. Fortunately for Beltre, he put up much bigger numbers last year and correspondingly fleeced the Rangers for a 5-year, $80 million contract. Best of luck; happy trails.
Add Carl Crawford, Subtract Victor Martinez
Where the Gonzalez trade excelled in impact, the Crawford signing made up with surprise. I heard NOTHING about this deal going down until it had already been completed. I have to admit that I’ve never been excited about Crawford as a player, though I hated playing against him 19 times a year as a member of the Rays. That probably stems mostly from my preference for more pop out of a corner outfielder then blazing speed. But when it comes to speed, the conversation starts and ends with Crawford. This guy stole 5 bases against the Sox in ONE GAME last year! A few years ago, he tagged up at second base on a sacrifice fly to deep center and scored before the throw got to the plate. This guy is greased lightening.
The Sox signed Crawford to a 7-year, $142 million contract and if he continues to put up the numbers he has (.350 OBP, .470 slugging, +15 UZR) he’ll be worth every penny. And if he doesn’t, he’ll still be worth the contract since he won’t be playing for the Yankees.
With the addition of Crawford, Mike Cameron is likely headed to the bench as the 4th outfielder, a position I feel he is uniquely suited to on this team. Offsetting the Crawford signing was the loss of Victor Martinez. Martinez signed a 4-year, $50 million deal with the Tigers. He was and still is a premium offensive catcher but he never really felt like a member of this team. I remember reading that he broke down into tears when he had found out he had been traded from the Indians to the Sox. He just always had this aura of a hired gun, a mercenary to me. In Martinez’s absence, the Sox plan on trying out the once can’t-miss prospect Jarrod Saltalamacchia at catcher and leave Varitek in a backup role. Saltalamacchia has been almost exactly replacement level in his brief time in the majors but it’s possible he’ll grow into his former expectations. Catcher is a position I feel comfortable having a weak bat so long as the defense and pitch calling is good. I believe Varitek and Saltalamacchia can and will provide just that for the Sox.
Bullpen Renovations
One area that has constantly plagued the Sox has been the bullpen. Theo’s always had trouble accurately projecting relievers and there have been a long line of failures (see closer by committee, Byung-Hyun Kim, or Eric Gagne). Last year was no exception so going into the offseason, this was a known area of need. The results?
Add Bobby Jenks (2 years, $12 million) and Dan Wheeler (1 year, $3 million). Compared to last year’s opening day roster, those two are taking Manny Delcarmen’s (signed a minor league deal with the Mariners) and Scott Schoeneweis’ (DFA'd?) place. The bullpen is a hard area to predict because the sample sizes are so small but I like these additions. Jenks was monumentally unlucky last year (career high .345 BABIP, 4.44 ERA compared to a 2.62 xFIP) so he’s a great buy low candidate with closing experience. Wheeler’s been a pretty consistent middle relief man for the Rays (think 3.25 ERA, 7-8 K/9) but his fly ball tendencies (50%+) may give him problems at Fenway this year.
Overall, it’s still hard to predict exactly how this pen will pan out but it's hard to imagine these additions will underperform last year's relievers.
The Bench
Changes to the bench didn’t cause much of a stir this offseason. Mike Lowell retired after 13 seasons in the bigs (5 with the Sox). Lowell was a great pick up in my mind. Seen as the dead weight associated with Beckett in the Hanley Ramirez trade, Lowell proved more than useful after having a dreadful 2005 with the Marlins. I hope he sticks around with the coaching staff somewhere.
Varitek remains on the bench and Cameron takes over as the 4th outfielder with the Crawford signing. Bill Hall and Jeremy Hermida moved on to the Astros and the Reds, respectively. I’m not sad to see either of them go but their replacements are a little fuzzy. Jed Lowrie will be competing with Marco Scutaro for the starting shortstop position but my money (and the Sox’s really) is on Scutaro starting. The last bench spot is still up for grabs this spring training. With a backup C, OF, and middle infielder already on the roster, the safe bet would seem to be on a corner infielder, maybe Lars Anderson. Anderson is pretty raw at this point though and Lowrie can play third too so Francona may go with the best bat available to him which would likely be Darnell McDonald. Either way, I hope we don’t see too much of whoever gets the last bench spot.
So there you have it: a brief recap of the offseason changes. The overall results should be a solid bullpen, more power out of the infield and more speed out of the outfield. So long as the team isn’t decimated by injuries again and the starting pitching performs as well as they can, this very well could be a 100 win team. I can’t wait to find out.